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Unsettled Borders: Lessons for India from the Russia-Ukraine War

Unsettled Borders: Lessons for India from the Russia-Ukraine War

Abstract

A major lesson from the Russia-Ukraine war for India is that territorial disputes between two nations are not settled because of their complexities but, intent of the side which is in a stronger position to impose its will when it suits it the best. After nearly four years of fighting, it is more than evident that Russia with its sheer size, military and resources, has more or less achieved its military objectives. It definitely is in a position to negotiate peace from a position of advantage. India shares 15,106 Kms of its land borders with seven countries, out of which approximately 3,488 km is along China and 3,320 Kms is with Pakistan.1 A quick analysis of our war-waging capabilities in light of the Russia-Ukraine experience with our two major adversaries, with whom we share large tracts of land borders, will make us comprehend the necessity to reset our future engagements with China, in particular. China’s growing influence in the world has raised hackles not only in the region but in the entire Western hemisphere. Its rapid military modernisation, use of economic hegemony, coupled with the employment of coercive diplomacy, has catapulted it into beingrecognised as a world power. In an ever-changing world order where the US post inauguration of President Trump’s second tenure has openly weaponised tariffs, challenged unfavourable regimes through use of asymmetrical force and coxed Ukraine to negotiate with Russia, however, it has been exceptionally cautious while dealing with China. The fact that China enjoys a trade surplus of nearly one trillion US dollars, shares good relations with Russia and almost dominates the Eastern hemisphere, has compelled the West to negotiate rather confront China. The West, however, has not displayed a similar sensitivity towards India, even though, it sees India well positioned to counter China. The same was experienced during the border standoff between India and China in May-June of 2020, where the West led by the US hardly did anything to check China’s belligerent actions. Therefore, it will be in Indias strategic interest to embrace smart diplomacy by resetting its ties with China, resolve border disputes, foster collaborative economic arrangements till it is in a position to match or outgrow China militarily and economically.

Keywords:

Russia-Ukraine War, US, NATO, India, Pakistan, China, South China Sea, PLA, Economy, GDP, Land borders, Indian Armed Forces, Re-alignment.

Brig K Ranjeev Singh, YSM
Author

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